Skeptical Science New Research for Week #49, 2020
14 min read
Skeptical Science –
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Because we’ve had an unusually large number of articles come in, this week’s New Research has bumped up against a length limit. Hence readers will be either deeply saddened or entirely delighted to miss the usual article highlight and “editorial remarks.”
153 Articles
[We regret to say that after last week’s mangling problem with URLs, the AMS is AWOL entirely for this week, with the AMS RSS feed not showing recent entries. Meanwhile, AGU is back.]
Physical science of climate change, effects
Clouds, radiation, and atmospheric circulation in the present‐day climate and under climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/wcc.694
Observations of climate change, effects
Using Bayesian Statistics to Detect Trends in Alaskan Precipitation
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6946
Reviews and syntheses: Present, past, and future of the oxygen minimum zone in the northern Indian Ocean
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-6051-2020
Past ‘peak water’ in the North Caucasus: deglaciation drives a reduction in glacial runoff impacting summer river runoff and peak discharges
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02931-y
The warming Tibetan Plateau improves winter air quality in the Sichuan Basin, China
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-14873-2020
Widespread Persistent Extreme Cold Events over South‐East China:Mechanisms, trends and attribution.
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033447
Significant shallow–depth soil warming over Russia during the past 40 years
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103394
An updated long‐term homogenized daily temperature data set for Australia
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.95
CLASSnmat: A global night marine air temperature data set, 1880–2019
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.100
ACSIS Atlantic Ocean medium resolution SST dataset: Reconstructed 5‐day, ½‐degree, Atlantic Ocean SST (1950‐2014)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.94
Reconstruction of a long‐term historical daily maximum and minimum air temperature network dataset for Ireland (1831‐1968)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.92 (preprint)
High‐resolution gridded climate data for Europe based on bias‐corrected EURO‐CORDEX: The ECLIPS dataset
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.110
Historical trends of seasonal Greenland blocking under different blocking metrics
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6923
The spatiotemporal variations of winter severity over North America
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6934
Delayed retreat of the summer monsoon over the Indochina Peninsula linked to surface warming trends
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6938
Trend analysis of cold extremes in South Africa: 1960‐2016
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6947
Tropospheric thermal field variability over Poland in the context of climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6933
Multi‐year hydroclimatic droughts and pluvials across the conterminous United States
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6925
An endless summer: 2018 heat episodes in Europe in the context of secular temperature variability and change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6582
Process‐based attribution of long‐term surface warming over the Tibetan Plateau
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6589
Spatiotemporal variations in monthly relative humidity in China based on observations and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6587
Enhanced winter and summer trend difference of Madden–Julian Oscillation intensity since 1871
Precipitation trends in the island of Ireland using a dense, homogenized, observational dataset
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6592
Rainfall and streamflow extreme events in the São Francisco hydrographic region
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6807
Long‐term trends in snowfall characteristics and extremes in Japan from 1961 to 2012
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6960
Unnatural Trend of Global Land Long‐term Surface Air Temperature Change
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6961
Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects
The Antarctic sea ice cover from ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2: freeboard, snow depth, and ice thickness
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-4453-2020
Constraining the Twomey effect from satellite observations: issues and perspectives
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-15079-2020
Satellite monitoring of global surface soil organic carbon dynamics using the SMAP Level 4 Carbon product
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006100
Using Bayesian Statistics to Detect Trends in Alaskan Precipitation
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6946
Amplification of Winter Sea Surface Temperature Response over East China Seas to Global Warming Acceleration and Slowdown
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6948
Temperature changes and elevation‐warming relationships in the Carpathian Mountains
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6952
Analyzing the impact of automatization using parallel daily mean temperature series including breakpoint detection and homogenization
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6597
Validation of ECMWF climatic data, 1979–2017, and implications for modelling water balance for tropical climates
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6604
Towards a comprehensive understanding of global vegetation CO2 assimilation from space
Assimilation of OCO-2 retrievals with WRF-Chem/DART: A case study for the Midwestern United States
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.118106
Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects MSWE
Projected changes in days with zero‐crossings for Norway
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6913
Non‐additive response of the high‐latitude Southern Hemisphere climate to aerosol forcing in a climate model with interactive chemistry
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/asl.1004
Extreme hot days over three global mega‐regions: Historical fidelity and future projection
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/asl.1003
The Response of the Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks and Jet Streams to Climate Change in the CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Climate Models
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032701
A model for the Artic mixed layer circulation under a melted lead: Implications on the near-surface temperature maximum formation
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-322 (preprint)
Inter‐model spread of the changes in the East Asian summer monsoon system in CMIP5/6 models
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033016
Contrasting aerosol effects on longwave cloud forcing in South East Asia and Amazon simulated with Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032380
Future changes of cluster high temperature events over China from RegCM4 ensemble under RCP4.5 scenario
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.007
Evaluation of precipitation in CMIP6 over the Yangtze River Basin
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105406
Impact of ocean-atmosphere coupling on future projection of medicanes in the Mediterranean Sea
Future changes in precipitation for identified sub‐regions in East Asia using bias‐corrected multi‐RCMs
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6936
The impact of Indian Ocean dipole on tropical Indian Ocean surface wave heights in ERA5 and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6900
Spatiotemporal variations in monthly relative humidity in China based on observations and CMIP5 models
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6587
Present and future changes in precipitation characteristics during Indian Summer Monsoon in CORDEX‐CORE simulations
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6951
Advances in climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection
Performance of the IPCC AR6 models in simulating the relation of the western North Pacific subtropical high to the spring northern tropical Atlantic SST
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6953
Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032583
Uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing impacts the simulated global monsoon in the 20th century
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10501216.1
Constraining the Twomey effect from satellite observations: issues and perspectives
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-15079-2020
Spatially resolved evaluation of Earth system models with satellite column-averaged CO2
Designing and evaluating regional climate simulations for high latitude land use land cover change studies
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2020.1853437
Benchmark calculations of radiative forcing by greenhouse gases
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10501550.1
GISS Model E2.2: A Climate Model Optimized for the Middle Atmosphere. Part 2: Validation of Large‐Scale Transport and Evaluation of Climate Response
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033151
Clouds and radiation processes in regional climate models evaluated using observations over the ice‐free Arctic Ocean
Open Access DOI: 10.1029/2020jd033904
Comparison of spatial and temporal performance of two Regional Climate Models in the Amazon and La Plata river basins
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105413
Evaluation of climate model simulations in representing the precipitation non‐stationarity by considering observational uncertainties
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6940
Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/joc.6590
Cryosphere & climate change
Simulating the internal structure of the Antarctic Ice Sheet – towards a spatio-temporal calibration for ice-sheet modelling
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-349 (preprint)
The Antarctic sea ice cover from ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2: freeboard, snow depth, and ice thickness
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/tc-14-4453-2020
A model for the Artic mixed layer circulation under a melted lead: Implications on the near-surface temperature maximum formation
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-322 (preprint)
Glacier geoengineering to address sea-level rise: A geotechnical approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.008
Role of Ural blocking in Arctic sea ice loss and its connection with Arctic warming in winter
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05545-3
200 years of equilibrium-line altitude variability across the European Alps (1901−2100)
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s00382-020-05525-7
Wind amplifies the polar sea ice retreat
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc379
Paleoclimate
Response of summer extreme precipitation over East Asia during the mid-Holocene versus future global warming
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103398
Climate and society in European history
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/wcc.691
Biology & climate change
Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.692
Extreme event waves in marine ecosystems: an application to Mediterranean Sea surface chlorophyll
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-5967-2020
Reviews and syntheses: Present, past, and future of the oxygen minimum zone in the northern Indian Ocean
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-6051-2020
Ocean acidification and short‐term organic matter enrichment alter coral reef sediment metabolism through different pathways
DOI: 10.1029/2019jg005453
Identifying contributions of climatic and atmospheric changes to autumn phenology over mid-high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103396
New evidence for the periodic bleaching and recovery of Porites corals during the mid-late Holocene in the northern south China Sea
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103397
Divergent shrub‐cover responses driven by climate, wildfire, and permafrost interactions in Arctic tundra ecosystems
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15451
Climate change facilitates a parasite’s host exploitation via temperature‐mediated immunometabolic processes
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15402
Thermal mismatches in biological rates determine trophic control and biomass distribution under warming
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15395
A decision framework for evidence‐based climate adaptation interventions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15429
Opposing pressures of climate and land use change on a native bee
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15468
Plants with less Chlorophyll: a global change perspective
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15470
Relative effects of anthropogenic pressures, climate, and sampling design on the structure of pollination networks at the global scale
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15474
Quantifying thermal exposure for migratory riverine species: Phenology of Chinook salmon populations predicts thermal stress
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15450
Climate change effects on Marine Protected Areas: projected decline of benthic species in the North Sea
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105230
Contrasting responsiveness of four ecologically and economically important bivalves to simulated heat waves
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105229
Shifts in regional production as a driver of future global ocean production stoichiometry
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc4b0
Extreme and gradual rainfall effects on winter and summer estuarine phytoplankton communities from Patagonia (Argentina)
DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2020.105235
Inter‐ and intraspecific selection in alien plants: How population growth, functional traits and climate responses change with residence time
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/geb.13228
Previous exposure mediates the response of eelgrass to future warming via clonal transgenerational plasticity
DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3169
Resource‐enhancing global changes drive a whole‐ecosystem shift to faster cycling but decrease diversity
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3178
GHG sources & sinks, flux
Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0
A physiology‐based Earth observation model indicates stagnation in the global gross primary production during recent decades
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15424
Total aquatic carbon emissions across the boreal biome of Quebec driven by watershed slope
Lateral carbon exports from drained peatlands: an understudied carbon pathway in the Sacramento‐San Joaquin Delta, California
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005883
Emission of greenhouse gases from water tracks draining Arctic hillslopes
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005889
Effects of plant functional group removal on CO2 fluxes and belowground C stocks across contrasting ecosystems
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1002/ecy.3170
Mangroves as a Source of Greenhouse Gases to the Atmosphere and Alkalinity and Dissolved Carbon to the Coastal Ocean: A Case Study from the Everglades National Park, Florida
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005812
Measured and simulated carbon dynamics in Midwestern US corn‐soybean rotations
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006685
Carbon Dioxide Partial Pressure and Emission Throughout the Scandinavian Stream Network
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006703
Fires Represent an Important Source of Carbon Emissions in Mexico
DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006815
Seasonal variations in dissolved carbon inventory and fluxes in a mangrove‐dominated estuary
DOI: 10.1029/2019gb006515
Climate‐driven variability and trends in plant productivity over recent decades based on three global products
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006613
Southern Ocean Calcification Controls the Global Distribution of Alkalinity
DOI: 10.1002/essoar.10503734.1
Collar properties and measurement time confer minimal bias overall on annual soil respiration estimates in a global database
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006066
Carbon Dioxide Production in Bedrock beneath Soils Substantially Contributes to Forest Carbon Cycling
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg005795
Satellite monitoring of global surface soil organic carbon dynamics using the SMAP Level 4 Carbon product
DOI: 10.1029/2020jg006100
Comparison of satellite-based models for estimating gross primary productivity in agroecosystems
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108253
Leaching of dissolved organic carbon from mineral soils plays a significant role in the terrestrial carbon balance
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15460
Direct response of tree growth to soil water and its implications for terrestrial carbon cycle modelling
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15397
Recognizing the complexity of soil organic carbon dynamics in vegetated coastal habitats
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15426
Thermal mismatches in biological rates determine trophic control and biomass distribution under warming
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15395
Towards a comprehensive understanding of global vegetation CO2 assimilation from space
An LSTM-STRIPAT model analysis of China’s 2030 CO2 emissions peak
Reduced magnitude and shifted seasonality of CO2 sink by experimental warming in a coastal wetland
CO2 removal, negative emissions & mitigation science and engineering
Hysteresis of the Earth system under positive and negative CO 2 emissions
Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00957-9
Promoting CO2 methanation via ligand-stabilized metal oxide clusters as hydrogen-donating motifs
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20004-7
An overview of the Energy Modeling Forum 33rd study: assessing large-scale global bioenergy deployment for managing climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02945-6
Cost-benefit comparison of carbon capture, utilization, and storage retrofitted to different thermal power plants in China based on real options approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.006
Delayed impact of natural climate solutions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15413
Can embedded knowledge in pollution prevention techniques reduce greenhouse gas emissions? A case of the power generating industry in the United States
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc589
The role of negative carbon emissions in reaching the Paris climate targets: The impact of target formulation in integrated assessment models
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc3f0
Accounting for the role of transport and storage infrastructure costs in carbon negative bioenergy deployment
DOI: 10.1002/ghg.2041
Fluid-heat dynamics and techno-economic analysis in a deep saline aquifer
Geoengineering climate
Tampering with Nature: A Systematic Review
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13619
Brief Communication: Reduction of the future Greenland ice sheet surface melt with the help of solar geoengineering
Open Access DOI: 10.5194/tc-2020-347 (preprint)
Glacier geoengineering to address sea-level rise: A geotechnical approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.008
Is solar geoengineering ungovernable? A critical assessment of governance challenges identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/wcc.690
Aerosols
Contrasting aerosol effects on longwave cloud forcing in South East Asia and Amazon simulated with Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3
DOI: 10.1029/2020jd032380
Climate change communications & cognition
Who are American evangelical Protestants and why do they matter for US climate policy?
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.693
Agronomy & climate change
Measured and simulated carbon dynamics in Midwestern US corn‐soybean rotations
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1029/2020gb006685
Facts to acidification–induced carbonate losses from Chinese croplands
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15478
Climate Change Adaptation by Smallholder Tea Farmers: a Case Study of Nepal
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.012
Economics & finance of climate change & mitigation
Cost-benefit comparison of carbon capture, utilization, and storage retrofitted to different thermal power plants in China based on real options approach
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.006
Assessment of the macro-economic impacts of low-carbon road transportation policies in Chongqing, China
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2020.11.011
Climate change mitigation & adaptation public policy research
A decision framework for evidence‐based climate adaptation interventions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15429
Strengthening the knowledge base to face the impacts of climate change on water resources in Africa: A social innovation perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.09.026
Climate change and income inequality: An I-O analysis of the structure and intensity of the GHG emissions in Mexican households
DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2020.11.002
Climate change impacts on human health
The health and well-being effects of drought: assessing multi-stakeholder perspectives through narratives from the UK
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02916-x
Urban climate maps as a public health tool for urban planning: The case of dengue fever in Rio De Janeiro/Brazil
DOI: 10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100749
The future urban heat-wave challenge in Africa: Exploratory analysis
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102190
Climate change adaptation
Who is vulnerable and who is resilient to coastal flooding? Lessons from Hurricane Sandy in New York City
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02896-y
The role of social institutions in indigenous Andean Pastoralists’ adaptation to climate-related water hazards
DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1850409
Adapting to climate change in small-scale fisheries: Insights from indigenous communities in the global north and south
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2020.11.009
Climate change impacts on human culture
Impacts and implications of climate change on wastewater systems: A New Zealand perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100262
Other
Climate change impacts on peak river flows: combining national-scale hydrological modelling and probabilistic projections
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100263
Risk Management Solutions for Climate Change–Induced Disasters
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/risa.13616
Global CO2 emissions and global temperatures: Are they related
DOI: 10.1002/joc.6601
Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives
Risking the Earth Part 1: reassessing dangerous anthropogenic interference and climate risk in IPCC processes
Open Access DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100257
Post-2020 biodiversity targets need to embrace climate change
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2009584117
How evaluation of hydrological models influences results of climate impact assessment—an editorial
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02927-8
Ocean and coastal indicators: understanding and coping with climate change at the land-sea interface
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-020-02940-x
Is solar geoengineering ungovernable? A critical assessment of governance challenges identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Open Access DOI: 10.1002/wcc.690
Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.692
Delayed impact of natural climate solutions
Open Access pdf DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15413
The Australian wildfires from a systems dependency perspective
Open Access DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/abc0bc
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Journals covered
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