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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #35 2024

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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #35 2024

Posted on 29 August 2024 by Doug Bostrom, Marc Kodack

Open access notables

Arctic glacier snowline altitudes rise 150 m over the last 4 decades, Larocca et al., The Cryosphere:

We mapped the snowline (SL) on a subset of 269 land-terminating glaciers above 60° N latitude in the latest available summer, clear-sky Landsat satellite image between 1984 and 2022. The mean SLA was extracted using the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) Global Digital Elevation Model (GDEM). We compared the remotely observed SLA observations with available long-term field-based measurements of ELA and with ERA5-Land reanalysis climate data. Over the last 4 decades, Arctic glacier SLAs have risen an average of ∼152 m (3.9±0.4 m yr−1R2=0.74p<0.001), with a corresponding summer (June, July, August) temperature shift of +1.2 °C at the glacier locations. This equates to a 127±5 m shift per 1 °C of summer warming. However, we note that the effect of glacier surface thinning could bias our estimates of SLA rise by up to ∼1 m yr−1, a significant fraction (∼25 %) of the overall rate of change, and thus should be interpreted as a maximum constraint. Along with warming, we observe an overall decrease in snowfall, an increase in rainfall, and a decrease in the total number of days in which the mean daily temperature is less than or equal to 0 °C. 

A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change, Ve?kalov et al., Nature Human Behaviour:

Communicating the scientific consensus that human-caused climate change is real increases climate change beliefs, worry and support for public action in the United States. In this preregistered experiment, we tested two scientific consensus messages, a classic message on the reality of human-caused climate change and an updated message additionally emphasizing scientific agreement that climate change is a crisis. Across online convenience samples from 27 countries (n = 10,527), the classic message substantially reduces misperceptions (d = 0.47, 95% CI (0.41, 0.52)) and slightly increases climate change beliefs (from d = 0.06, 95% CI (0.01, 0.11) to d = 0.10, 95% CI (0.04, 0.15)) and worry (d = 0.05, 95% CI (−0.01, 0.10)) but not support for public action directly. The updated message is equally effective but provides no added value. Both messages are more effective for audiences with lower message familiarity and higher misperceptions, including those with lower trust in climate scientists and right-leaning ideologies. Overall, scientific consensus messaging is an effective, non-polarizing tool for changing misperceptions, beliefs and worry across different audiences.

A slow and deceitful path to decarbonization? Critically assessing corporate climate disclosure as central tool of soft climate governance, Frisch, Energy Research & Social Science:

While successful in translating climate change into business language, the climate disclosure regime currently does not enable a rapid transformation of the economy. The article offers an innovative explanation for the limited effects of climate disclosure on reducing corporate greenhouse gas emissions, but avoids a destructive critique that dismisses climate disclosure as mere greenwashing activity. Simultaneously, it counters naïve illusions that more transparency, better standards, and the right performance indicators will solve the “wicked problem” of climate change.

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades, Stechemesser et al., Science:

Meeting the Paris Agreement’s climate targets necessitates better knowledge about which climate policies work in reducing emissions at the necessary scale. We provide a global, systematic ex post evaluation to identify policy combinations that have led to large emission reductions out of 1500 climate policies implemented between 1998 and 2022 across 41 countries from six continents. Our approach integrates a comprehensive climate policy database with a machine learning–based extension of the common difference-in-differences approach. We identified 63 successful policy interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 billion and 1.8 billion metric tonnes CO2. Our insights on effective but rarely studied policy combinations highlight the important role of price-based instruments in well-designed policy mixes and the policy efforts necessary for closing the emissions gap.

“Disempowered by the transition”: Manipulated and coerced agency in displacements induced by accelerated extraction of energy transition minerals in Zimbabwe, Matanzima, Energy Research & Social Science:

The theme of manipulated and coerced agency is the foci of this manuscript. I show how the “urgency” to decarbonize and fast- tracked ETMs mining interact to induce displacements in absence of due diligence. Urgency by mining companies to extract minerals interacts with weak governance and corruption to induce forced resettlement characterized by manipulation of consent in regions where ETMs are concentrated. This article focuses on the case of Buhera district (south-eastern Zimbabwe) where communities were displaced due to lithium mining activities at the Sabi Star mine (run by a Chinese mining company known as Max Mind) to elucidate how manipulation and coercion were utilized to get people to agree to “unfair” resettlement terms. The resettlement programme was deliberately jumbled to confuse peasants so that they consent to a flawed displacement scheme. In the aftermath, people agreed to hasty removals coupled with unfair compensation resulting in their impoverishment. The Buhera case is an epitome of the political ecologies of energy transitions and displacements prevailing across the global south, that needs to be urgently addressed if we are to achieve a fairer and just energy transition. The article leans on the political ecology arguments to argue its case. 

Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations, Titcomb et al., Global Change Biology:

The ways humans respond to climate change, either through adaptation or mitigation, have underappreciated, yet hugely impactful effects on infectious disease transmission, often in complex and sometimes nonintuitive ways. Thus, in addition to investigating the direct effects of climate changes on infectious diseases, it is critical to consider how human preventative measures and adaptations to climate change will alter the environments and hosts that support pathogens. Here, we consider the ways that human responses to climate change will likely impact disease risk in both positive and negative ways. We evaluate the evidence for these impacts based on the available data, and identify research directions needed to address climate change while minimizing externalities associated with infectious disease, especially for vulnerable communities. We identify several different human adaptations to climate change that are likely to affect infectious disease risk independently of the effects of climate change itself. We categorize these changes into adaptation strategies to secure access to water, food, and shelter, and mitigation strategies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. We recognize that adaptation strategies are more likely to have infectious disease consequences for under-resourced communities, and call attention to the need for socio-ecological studies to connect human behavioral responses to climate change and their impacts on infectious disease. 

From this week’s government and NGO section:

State of the Climate in 2023American Meteorological Society

Notable findings from the international report include Earth’s greenhouse gas concentrations being the highest on record, record temperatures notable across the globe, El Niño conditions contributed to record-high sea surface temperatures, ocean heat and global sea level were the highest on record, heatwaves and droughts contributed to massive wildfires around the world, the Arctic was warm and navigable, Antarctica sea ice sets record lows throughout 2023, and tropical cyclone activity was below average, but storms still set records around the globe.

Surging Seas in a Warming WorldUN Secretary-General’s Climate Action Team, United Nations

The authors provide a summary of the latest science on sea-level rise and its present-day and projected impacts — including coastal flooding — at a global and regional level, with a focus on major coastal cities in the Group of Twenty (G20) countries and the Pacific Small Island Developing States. The findings demonstrate that sea-level rise is affecting the lives and livelihoods of coastal communities and low-lying island nations around the world today, and it is accelerating. The climate actions and decisions taken by political leaders and policymakers in the coming months and years will determine how devastating these impacts become and how quickly they worsen.

218 articles in 79 journals by 1516 contributing authors

Physical science of climate change, effects

Amazon drought amplifies SST warming in the North Tropical Atlantic, Lou et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-024-07400-1

Decreased cloud cover partially offsets the cooling effects of surface albedo change due to deforestation, Luo et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51783-y

Ice Sheet-Albedo Feedback Estimated From Most Recent Deglaciation, Booth et al., 10.22541/essoar.171535275.57284648/v1

Role of the Labrador Current in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation response to greenhouse warming, Shan et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51449-9

Understanding the role of contrails and contrail cirrus in climate change: a global perspective, Singh et al., Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Open Access 10.5194/acp-24-9219-2024

Uniform SST Warming Explains Most of the NH Winter Circulation and Blocking Response in a Warmer Climate, Narinesingh et al., Journal of Climate Open Access pdf 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0371.1

Observations of climate change, effects

2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability, Samset et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01637-8

A comparative analysis of temperature trends at Modena Geophysical Observatory and Mount Cimone Observatory, Italy, Costanzini et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8607

Anthropogenic Impacts on Amplified Midlatitude European Summer Warming and Rapid Increase of Heatwaves in Recent Decades, Yin et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl108982

Arctic glacier snowline altitudes rise 150 m over the last 4 decades, Larocca et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-18-3591-2024

Comparative analysis of the spatiotemporal patterns and trends of three types of summer heatwaves in China (1981–2020) using a biometeorological index, Qin et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8601

Detecting the impact of climate change on alpine mass movements in observational records from the European Alps, Jacquemart et al., Earth Open Access 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104886

Drastic increase in the magnitude of very rare summer-mean vapor pressure deficit extremes, Hermann et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51305-w

Drivers and Impacts of the Record-Breaking 2023 Wildfire Season in Canada, Jain et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51154-7

Escalating Wildfires in Siberia Driven by Climate Feedbacks Under a Warming Arctic in the 21st Century, Huang et al., AGU Advances Open Access 10.1029/2023av001151

Exploring Uncertainty of Trends in the North Pacific Jet Position, Keel et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109500

Historical Trends in Cold-Season Mid-Latitude Cyclones in the Great Lakes Region, Hutson et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109890

Impact of climate change on the behaviour of solar radiation using AFR-CORDEX model over West Africa, Ojo et al., Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 10.1007/s00703-024-01033-z

Land-atmosphere coupling amplified the record-breaking heatwave at altitudes above 5000 meters on the Tibetan Plateau in July 2022, Gui et al., Weather and Climate Extremes 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100717

Long-term snowfall trends and variability in the Alps, Bozzoli et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8597

Oceanic cloud trends during the satellite era and their radiative signatures, Tselioudis et al., Climate Dynamics Open Access 10.1007/s00382-024-07396-8

Rapid lake ice structure changes across Swedish lakes puts public ice safety at risk, Vikström et al., Ambio Open Access 10.1007/s13280-024-02067-8

Rising Extreme Meltwater Trends in Greenland Ice Sheet (1950–2022): Surface Energy Balance and Large-Scale Circulation Changes, Bonsoms et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0396.1

Spatiotemporal shifts in humidification zones: assessing climate impact on bioclimatic landscapes, Gudko et al., International Journal of Biometeorology 10.1007/s00484-024-02769-4

The Coldest and Densest Overflow Branch Into the North Atlantic is Stable in Transport, But Warming, Larsen et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl110097

The key role of extreme weather and climate change in the occurrence of exceptional fire seasons in south-central Chile, Carrasco-Escaff et al., Weather and Climate Extremes 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100716

Updated Observations Provide Stronger Evidence for Increases in Subhourly to Hourly Extreme Rainfall in Canada, Cannon et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0501.1

Instrumentation & observational methods of climate change, effects

A vegetation phenology dataset by integrating multiple sources using the Reliability Ensemble Averaging method, Cui et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2024-225

Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems, Dakos et al., Earth System Dynamics Open Access 10.5194/esd-15-1117-2024

Modeling, simulation & projection of climate change, effects

Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, Wang et al., Environmental Chemistry Open Access 10.1071/en21068

Changes of Intense Extratropical Cyclone Deepening Mechanisms in a Warmer Climate in Idealized Simulations, Chen et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0605.1

Future Changes in the Winter Beaufort High Under Warming Climate Scenarios, Zhang et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl110317

IMO2020 Regulations Accelerate Global Warming by up to 3 Years in UKESM1, Jordan & Henry Henry, Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef005011

Impact of historical and future warming on heavy rainfall over eastern Japan induced by Typhoon Hagibis (2019) in dynamical downscaling simulations, Fujiwara et al., Natural Hazards Open Access 10.1007/s11069-024-06875-9

Linking Future Precipitation Changes to Weather Features in CESM2-LE, Konstali et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres Open Access 10.1029/2024jd041190

Persistence of North Atlantic ocean heat uptake following CO2 concentration maximum, Zhang & Chen, Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-024-07397-7

Predicting daily maximum temperature over Andhra Pradesh using machine learning techniques, Velivelli et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05146-8

Present Climate and Future Changes in the Annual Cycle of TC Activity in the WNP Investigated by HighResMIP GCMs, Chen et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-24-0048.1

Projected Poleward Migration of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis, Jian et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access pdf 10.1029/2024gl110031

Time Series Analysis of Sea Surface Temperature Change in the Coastal Seas of Türkiye, Bilgili et al., Journal of Atmospheric and Solar 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106339

Advancement of climate & climate effects modeling, simulation & projection

An improved and extended parameterization of the CO2 15 µm cooling in the middle and upper atmosphere (CO2&cool&fort-1.0), López-Puertas et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4401-2024

CORDEX—Advancing High-Resolution Climate Information and Its Use in Society, Lake & Bukovsky, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Open Access pdf 10.1175/bams-d-24-0088.1

Evaluation of the performance of CMIP6 models in simulating extreme precipitation and its projected changes in global climate regions, Zhang et al., Natural Hazards Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11069-024-06850-4

Future Climate Projections for South Florida: Improving the Accuracy of Air Temperature and Precipitation Extremes With a Hybrid Statistical Bias Correction Technique, Rahimi et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004531

Pushing the frontiers in climate modelling and analysis with machine learning, Eyring et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02095-y

Quantifying spatially explicit uncertainty in empirically downscaled climate data, Inglis et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8596

The atmospheric connection between the Arctic and Eurasia is underestimated in simulations with prescribed sea ice, Yu et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01605-2

The Key Role of Temporal Stratification for GCM Bias Correction in Climate Impact Assessments, Vásquez et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef004242

Two Perspectives on Amplified Warming over Tropical Land Examined in CMIP6 Models, Duan et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0955.1

Cryosphere & climate change

Arctic glacier snowline altitudes rise 150 m over the last 4 decades, Larocca et al., The Cryosphere Open Access 10.5194/tc-18-3591-2024

Global clustering of recent glacier surges from radar backscatter data, 2017–2022, Kääb et al., Journal of Glaciology Open Access pdf 10.1017/jog.2023.35

Greenland’s firn responds more to warming than to cooling, Thompson-Munson et al., Open Access pdf 10.5194/egusphere-2023-2629

Long-term snowfall trends and variability in the Alps, Bozzoli et al., International Journal of Climatology Open Access 10.1002/joc.8597

Pan-Antarctic Assessment of Ice Shelf Flexural Responses to Ocean Waves, Liang et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Open Access 10.1029/2023jc020824

Rising Extreme Meltwater Trends in Greenland Ice Sheet (1950–2022): Surface Energy Balance and Large-Scale Circulation Changes, Bonsoms et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0396.1

Strong impact of sub-shelf melt parameterisation on ice-sheet retreat in idealised and realistic Antarctic topography, Berends et al., Journal of Glaciology Open Access pdf 10.1017/jog.2023.33

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet may not be vulnerable to marine ice cliff instability during the 21st century, Morlighem et al., Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.ado7794

Thermodynamics Drive Post-2016 Changes in the Antarctic Sea Ice Seasonal Cycle, Himmich et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Open Access 10.1029/2024jc021112

‘Stable’ and ‘unstable’ are not useful descriptions of marine ice sheets in the Earth’s climate system, Sergienko & Haseloff, Journal of Glaciology Open Access pdf 10.1017/jog.2023.40

Sea level & climate change

Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Groundwater Table Simulated by an Earth System Model With a Land-Ocean Coupling Scheme, Xu et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2024ef004479

Mean sea level, tidal components and surges in Guanabara Bay (Rio de Janeiro) from 1990 to 2021, Tecchio et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8600

Permanent loss of barrier island resilience due to a critical transition in dune ecosystems, Ramakrishnan et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01611-4

Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge-Based Flood Risk Assessment Under Combined Scenarios of High Tides and Sea-Level Rise: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China, Zhou et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef004236

Paleoclimate & paleogeochemistry

Dry hydroclimates in the late Palaeocene-early Eocene hothouse world, Piedrahita et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51430-6

Historical Southern Hemisphere biomass burning variability inferred from ice core carbon monoxide records, Strawson et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 10.1073/pnas.2402868121

Biology & climate change, related geochemistry

A synthesized field survey database of vegetation and active-layer properties for the Alaskan tundra (1972–2020), Zhu et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-16-3687-2024

Age, not growth, explains larger body size of Pacific cod larvae during recent marine heatwaves, Miller et al., Scientific Reports Open Access 10.1038/s41598-024-69915-1

An invasive prey and changing climate interact to shape the breeding phenology of an endangered predator, Fletcher et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17478

An update of data compilation on the biological response to ocean acidification and overview of the OA-ICC data portal, Yang et al., Earth System Science Data Open Access 10.5194/essd-16-3771-2024

Beyond resilience: Responses to changing climate and disturbance regimes in temperate forest landscapes across the Northern Hemisphere, Dollinger et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17468

Climate change differentially alters distribution of two marten species in a hybrid zone, Chmura et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.70181

Climate-driven context-dependent structure of population cycles, Samia et al., Royal Society Open Science Open Access 10.1098/rsos.240047

Climatic Predictors of Long-Distance Migratory Birds Breeding Productivity Across Europe, Hanzelka et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography Open Access 10.1111/geb.13901

Conceptualizing social risk in relation to climate change and assisted ecosystem adaptation, Lockie et al., Risk Analysis Open Access 10.1111/risa.17635

Differential Impact of Climate and Land Use Change on Habitat Suitability of Migrant Passerines According to Habitat Preferences, Koufaki et al., Anthropocene 10.1016/j.ancene.2024.100447

Disentangling the Influence of Phylogeny and Traits on Climatic Risk of European Butterflies, Gianuca et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography Open Access 10.1111/geb.13907

Ecological consequences of body size reduction under warming, Sentis et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 10.1098/rspb.2024.1250

Global increase of lianas in tropical forests, Rueda?Trujillo et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17485

Human-induced borealization leads to the collapse of Bering Sea snow crab, Litzow et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02093-0

Hydrothermal Conditions Modulate the Impact of Climate Extremes on Vegetation Growth in the Northern Hemisphere, Xu et al., Global Ecology and Biogeography 10.1111/geb.13898

Impacts of marine heatwaves in coastal ecosystems depend on local environmental conditions, Starko et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17469

Interactions between ocean acidification and multiple environmental drivers on the biochemical traits of marine primary producers: A meta-analysis, Peng et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106707

Key Uncertainties and Modeling Needs for Managing Living Marine Resources in the Future Arctic Ocean, Mason et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef004393

Long-term trends in the functional structure of estuarine fish assemblages in a subtropical estuary and its relationships with local environmental variability, man-made changes, and climatic drivers, Belarmino et al., Marine Environmental Research 10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106698

Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100, Barboza et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.70158

Modelling climate change impacts on lake ice and snow demonstrates breeding habitat decline of the endangered Saimaa ringed seal, Jakkila et al., Climatic Change Open Access 10.1007/s10584-024-03797-0

Phytoplankton dynamics in a shellfish farming lagoon in a deltaic system threatened by ongoing climate change, Bolinesi et al., Scientific Reports Open Access 10.1038/s41598-024-70492-6

Potential migration pathways of broadleaved trees across the receding boreal biome under future climate change, Lima et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17471

Resisting the carbonization of animals as climate solutions, Duvall et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02106-y

River flow intermittence influence biodiversity–stability relationships across spatial scales: Implications for an uncertain future, Gianuca et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17457

Shifts in benthic megafauna communities after glacial retreat in an Antarctic fjord, Kim et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access pdf 10.1038/s43247-024-01607-0

Species interactions amplify functional group responses to elevated CO2 and N enrichment in a 24-year grassland experiment, Mohanbabu et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17476

The Effect of Drying Boreal Lakes on Plants, Soils, and Microbial Communities in Lake Margin Habitats, Patil et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2023jg007819

The heat is on: reduced detection of floral scents after heatwaves in bumblebees, Nooten et al., Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences Open Access 10.1098/rspb.2024.0352

Thermal refugia reinforce macroalgal resilience against climate change in the southeastern Bay of Biscay, Arriaga et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17481

Widespread crab burrows enhance greenhouse gas emissions from coastal blue carbon ecosystems, Xiao et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01621-2

GHG sources & sinks, flux, related geochemistry

A consistent budgeting of terrestrial carbon fluxes, Dorgeist et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51126-x

A large net carbon loss attributed to anthropogenic and natural disturbances in the Amazon Arc of Deforestation, Csillik et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Open Access pdf 10.1073/pnas.2310157121

Addendum: Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion, Nielsen et al., Nature Climate Change Open Access 10.1038/s41558-024-02133-9

Distribution and Drivers of Organic Carbon Sedimentation Along the Continental Margins, Tegler et al., AGU Advances Open Access 10.1029/2023av001000

Emergent constraints on historical and future global gross primary productivity, Chen et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17479

Enhanced Carbon Flux Response to Atmospheric Aridity and Water Storage Deficit During the 2015–2016 El Niño Compromised Carbon Balance Recovery in Tropical South America, Liu et al., AGU Advances Open Access 10.1029/2024av001187

Experimental warming and drying increase older carbon contributions to soil respiration in lowland tropical forests, McFarlane et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51422-6

High-frequency continuous measurements reveal strong diel and seasonal cycling of pCO2 and CO2 flux in a mesohaline reach of the Chesapeake Bay, Miller et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-3717-2024

High-Resolution Variability of the Ocean Carbon Sink, Gregor et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles Open Access 10.1029/2024gb008127

Increase in gross primary production of boreal forests balanced out by increase in ecosystem respiration, Pulliainen et al., Remote Sensing of Environment Open Access 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114376

Joint Occurrence of Extreme Water Level and River Flows in St. Lawrence River Coasts Under Present and Sea Level Rise Conditions, Bizhanimanzar et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef004027

Low methane emissions from Australian estuaries influenced by geomorphology and disturbance, Yeo et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01567-5

Mechanics of methane bubbles in consolidated aquatic muds, Katsman, Earth 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.104908

Methane in Two Stream Networks: Similar Contributions From Groundwater and Local Sediments While Oxidation Was a Large Sink Controlling Atmospheric Emissions, Balathandayuthabani et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2023jg007836

Precision and bias of carbon storage estimations in wetland and mangrove sediments, Ezcurra, Science Advances Open Access 10.1126/sciadv.adl1079

Seasonal Carbon Budget Succession in Lake Erie’s Western Basin, Eveleth et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences Open Access 10.1029/2024jg008107

Shoulder season controls on methane emissions from a boreal peatland, Jentzsch et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-3761-2024

Spatial and temporal variations of gross primary production simulated by land surface model BCC&AVIM2.0, Li et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2023.02.001

Strong pCO2 Undersaturation in an Arctic Sea: A Decade of Spatial and Temporal Variability in Baffin Bay, Nickoloff et al., Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans Open Access 10.1029/2023jc020595

The importance of adding unbiased Argo observations to the ocean carbon observing system, Heimdal & McKinley, Scientific Reports Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41598-024-70617-x

Traveling Light: Arctic Coastal Erosion Releases Mostly Matrix Free, Unprotected Organic Carbon, van Crimpen et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl108622

Underestimation of Methane Emissions From the Sudd Wetland: Unraveling the Impact of Wetland Extent Dynamics, Dong et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl110690

CO2 capture, sequestration science & engineering

A study on degradation and CO2 capture performance of aqueous amino acid salts for direct air capture applications, Kiani et al., Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology Open Access 10.1002/ghg.2302

Caprock Remains Water Wet Under Geologic CO2 Storage Conditions, Tapriyal et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109123

Carbon dioxide removal through ecosystem restoration: Public perceptions and political participation, Kuhn et al., Ambio Open Access 10.1007/s13280-024-02063-y

Demystifying carbon removals in the context of offsetting for sub-global net-zero targets, Möllersten et al., Carbon Management Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2024.2390840

Lessons for scaling direct air capture from the history of ammonia synthesis, Roberts & Nemet, Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103696

Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100, Barboza et al., Ecology and Evolution Open Access 10.1002/ece3.70158

Mutual reinforcement of land-based carbon dioxide removal and international emissions trading in deep decarbonization scenarios, Morris et al., Nature Communications Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41467-024-49502-8

Non-aqueous alkoxide-mediated electrochemical carbon capture, Liu et al., Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-024-01614-7

Racial capitalism’s role in mitigation deterrence from carbon removal, Buck et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103865

Seafloor alkalinity enhancement as a carbon dioxide removal strategy in the Baltic Sea, Dale et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01569-3

Synergies of storing hydrogen at the crest of CO2${rm CO}&{2}$ or other gas storage, OGAWA et al., TRANSACTIONS OF THE JAPAN SOCIETY OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERS Series B Open Access pdf 10.1299/kikaib.70.3204

Decarbonization

Assessing the bioenergy potential in South America: Projections for 2050, Magne et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101535

Citizen science and its potential for aiding low carbon energy transitions, Gooding et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103702

Cooling with the sun: Empowering off-grid communities in developing countries with solar-powered cold storage systems, Garcia et al., Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103686

Do indicators of safeguards influence off-grid solar choices? Assessing quality, affordability, and service models in Kenya, Harrington & Hsu, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114296

Economic potential of wind and solar in American Indian communities, Parker et al., Nature Energy 10.1038/s41560-024-01617-4

Future hydrogen economies imply environmental trade-offs and a supply-demand mismatch, Terlouw et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51251-7

Manufacture and testing of biomass-derivable thermosets for wind blade recycling, Clarke et al., Science 10.1126/science.adp5395

Persistent Extreme Surface Solar Radiation and Its Implications on Solar Photovoltaics, Senger et al., Earth’s Future Open Access 10.1029/2023ef004266

Risks in the design of regional hydrogen hub systems: A review and commentary, Karplus et al., Risk Analysis Open Access 10.1111/risa.17449

Sustainable astronomy: A comparative life cycle assessment of off-grid hybrid energy systems to supply large telescopes, Viole et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment Open Access pdf 10.1007/s11367-024-02288-9

The role of electric grid research in addressing climate change, Xie et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02092-1

Geoengineering climate

A Mathematical Modelling for Solar Irradiance Reduction of Sunshades and Some Near-future Albedo Modification Approaches for Mitigation of Global Warming, Alagoz et al., Journal of Atmospheric and Solar 10.1016/j.jastp.2024.106337

Ocean alkalinity enhancement impacts: regrowth of marine microalgae in alkaline mineral concentrations simulating the initial concentrations after ship-based dispersions, Delacroix et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-3677-2024

Technical note: Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement Pelagic Impact Intercomparison Project (OAEPIIP), Bach et al., Biogeosciences Open Access 10.5194/bg-21-3665-2024

Black carbon Aerosols

Constraining Light Absorption of Brown Carbon in China and Implications for Aerosol Direct Radiative Effect, Xu et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109861

Has Reducing Ship Emissions Brought Forward Global Warming?, Gettelman et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109077

Impacts of current and climate induced changes in atmospheric stagnation on Indian surface PM2.5 pollution, Zhou et al., Nature Communications Open Access 10.1038/s41467-024-51462-y

Climate change communications & cognition

A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change, Ve?kalov et al., Nature Human Behaviour Open Access pdf 10.1038/s41562-024-01928-2

Delivering and Evaluating Climate Services: The North Central U.S. Climate and Drought Webinar Series, Haigh et al., Weather, Climate, and Society 10.1175/wcas-d-23-0041.1

Don’t believe them! Reducing misinformation influence through source discreditation, Ecker et al., Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications Open Access 10.1186/s41235-024-00581-7

Hotter weather, less of a hoax? Testing the longitudinal association between experience of temperature anomalies and belief in climate change conspiracy theories, Chan et al., Journal of Environmental Psychology Open Access 10.1016/j.jenvp.2024.102409

Weather, heritage, and memory, Adamson & Rapson , WIREs Climate Change Open Access 10.1002/wcc.913

“We can’t be too saintly”: Why members of parliament in the United Kingdom are reluctant to lead by example with low-carbon behaviour, Westlake et al., Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103717

Agronomy, animal husbundry, food production & climate change

Cocoa vs. food crops: smallholder’s seasonal food access and extension support for climate adaptation in Ghana, Picot et al., Climate and Development Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2024.2394529

Constraints limiting the effectiveness of extension agents in disseminating climate-smart agricultural practices among rice farmers in north-Central Nigeria, Ojo et al., Frontiers in Climate Open Access 10.3389/fclim.2024.1297225

Decline in carbon emission intensity of global agriculture has stagnated recently, Bai et al., Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 10.1073/pnas.2317725121

Dissecting the vital role of dietary changes in food security assessment under climate change, Zhao et al., Communications Earth & Environment Open Access 10.1038/s43247-024-01612-3

Empirical evaluation of agricultural resilience to climate change: an application to the Indian state of Odisha, Panda & Parashari, Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05154-8

Enhanced nitrous oxide emission factors due to climate change increase the mitigation challenge in the agricultural sector, Li et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17472

Modeling biochar effects on soil organic carbon on croplands in a microbial decomposition model (MIMICS-BC&v1.0), Han et al., Geoscientific Model Development Open Access 10.5194/gmd-17-4871-2024

Oil palm agroforestry systems store more carbon and nitrogen in soil aggregates than monoculture in the Amazon, de Oliveira et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-024-10166-w

Optimistic growth of marginal region plantations under climate warming: Assessing divergent drought resilience, Li et al., Global Change Biology 10.1111/gcb.17459

Prospective life cycle assessment of climate and biodiversity impacts of meat-based and plant-forward meals: A case study of Indonesian and German meal options, Marquardt et al., Journal of Industrial Ecology Open Access 10.1111/jiec.13549

The Application of Machine Learning Algorithms to the Global Forecast of Temperature-Humidity Index with High Temporal Resolution, Georgiades et al., Open Access 10.5194/essd-2024-344

The carbon balance and water use efficiency of an intensively managed forage crop in the Lower Fraser Valley in British Columbia, Canada, Pow et al., Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Open Access 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110178

Hydrology, hydrometeorology & climate change

A multi-objective optimization approach for harnessing rainwater in changing climate, MENG et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.08.006

Changes in evaporation patterns and their impact on Climatic Water Balance and river discharges in central Poland, 1961–2020, Bartczak et al., Regional Environmental Change Open Access 10.1007/s10113-024-02296-3

Cumulative effects of meteorological factors on low-flow change in the upper Yellow River, Li et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05137-9

Declining Reservoir Reliability and Increasing Reservoir Vulnerability: Long-Term Observations Reveal Longer and More Severe Periods of Low Reservoir Storage for Major United States Reservoirs, Simeone et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl109476

Dry air in the lower-free troposphere intensifies humid heatwaves, , Nature Geoscience 10.1038/s41561-024-01507-0

Frequency Bias Causes Overestimation of Climate Change Impacts on Global Flood Occurrence, Zhao et al., Geophysical Research Letters Open Access 10.1029/2024gl108855

Land–atmosphere feedbacks weaken the risks of precipitation extremes over Australia in a warming climate, Chang et al., Advances in Climate Change Research Open Access 10.1016/j.accre.2024.08.005

Modelling the water supply-demand relationship under climate change in the Buffalo River catchment, South Africa, Dlamini et al., PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000464

Projected changes in precipitation extremes in Southern Thailand using CMIP6 models, Kuinkel et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05150-y

Temporal and spatial variation of sediment risk in Turkey: the role of forestry activities and climate change scenarios (2022–2096) utilizing Entropy-based WASPAS and fuzzy clustering, Akay et al., Theoretical and Applied Climatology 10.1007/s00704-024-05156-6

Updated Observations Provide Stronger Evidence for Increases in Subhourly to Hourly Extreme Rainfall in Canada, Cannon et al., Journal of Climate 10.1175/jcli-d-23-0501.1

Using quantile mapping and random forest for bias-correction of high-resolution reanalysis precipitation data and CMIP6 climate projections over Iran, Raeesi et al., International Journal of Climatology 10.1002/joc.8593

Climate change economics

Border Carbon Adjustments and Leakage in the Presence of Public Pollution Abatement Activities, Tsakiris & Vlassis, Environmental and Resource Economics Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10640-024-00882-x

Bridging evidence gaps in attributing loss and damage, and measures to minimize impacts, Engdaw et al., PLOS Climate Open Access 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000477

Building knowledge and capacity for climate change risk management in the health sector: The case of Queensland, Palutikof et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100644

Equity weighting increases the social cost of carbon, Prest et al., Science 10.1126/science.adn1488

How can event attribution science underpin financial decisions on Loss and Damage?, Coumou et al., PNAS Nexus Open Access 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae277

Modelling beyond growth perspectives for sustainable climate futures: The case for rethinking Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, Walker Wood et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103705

Short- and long-term effects of carbon taxation on the prices of products shipped by sea, Mundaca, Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114292

Climate change and the circular economy Climate change mitigation public policy research

A conceptual typology of energy citizenship, Debourdeau et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103720

A slow and deceitful path to decarbonization? Critically assessing corporate climate disclosure as central tool of soft climate governance, Frisch, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103704

Assessment of Colombian renewable energy auctions policy: Enabler or barrier for concentrating solar power plants, Rangel et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114300

Boosting the clean energy transition through data science, Fronzetti Colladon et al., Energy Policy 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114304

Carbon border adjustment mechanism, carbon pricing, and within-sector shifts: A partial equilibrium approach to Vietnam’s steel sector, Chu et al., Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114293

Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades, Stechemesser et al., Science Open Access pdf 10.1126/science.adl6547

Comparative assessment of waste-to-energy scenarios to mitigate GHG emission from MSW in a developing mega city, Dihan et al., Energy for Sustainable Development 10.1016/j.esd.2024.101540

Corporate opposition to climate change disclosure regulation in the United States, Lashitew & Mu, Climate Policy 10.1080/14693062.2024.2394518

Developing community energy systems to facilitate Ethiopia’s transition to sustainable energy, Gebreslassie et al., Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103713

Empirical insights into enabling and impeding factors for increasing citizen investments in renewable energy communities, Guetlein & Schleich, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114302

Green finance reform policy increases corporate hypocritical business strategies: Evidence from the greenwashing behavior, Wu, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-024-10162-0

How do donors integrate climate policy and development cooperation? An analysis of the development aid policies of 42 donor countries, Dokk Smith et al., Climate Policy Open Access 10.1080/14693062.2024.2390522

How to build a powerline: Fast policies for decarbonization, the slow work of public participation, and the profitability of energy capital, Kroot, Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103730

Stop procrastinating, start renovating! Exploring the decision-making process for household energy efficiency renovations, Mogensen & Thøgersen, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103734

Temporal injustice in Germany’s coal compromise: Industrial legacy, social exclusion, and political delay, Herberg et al., Energy Research & Social Science 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103683

The political economy of energy transitions in Africa: Coalitions, politics and power in Tanzania, Pedersen & Poncian, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103712

The temporalities and externalities of ancillary infrastructure in large-scale renewable energy projects: Insights from the rural periphery, Greiner & Klagge, Energy Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114303

“Disempowered by the transition”: Manipulated and coerced agency in displacements induced by accelerated extraction of energy transition minerals in Zimbabwe, Matanzima, Energy Research & Social Science Open Access 10.1016/j.erss.2024.103727

Climate change adaptation & adaptation public policy research

A missing link? The role of international organizations in climate-related planned relocation, Harrington-Abrams & Bower, Climate Policy Open Access pdf 10.1080/14693062.2024.2390523

Aligning adaptation and sustainability agendas: lessons from protected areas, Múnera-Roldán et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Open Access 10.1007/s11027-024-10159-9

Climate change adaptation in Norwegian businesses − Awareness, integration and barriers, Henke et al., Climate Risk Management Open Access 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100647

Lessons from a decade of adaptive pathways studies for climate adaptation, Haasnoot et al., Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102907

On Micropolitics: Climate adaptation and Indigenous governance in Western Alaska, Lezak & Rock, Climatic Change Open Access 10.1007/s10584-024-03769-4

Re-conceptualizing climate maladaptation: Complementing social-ecological interactions with relational socionatures, Shah et al., Global Environmental Change Open Access 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102910

Supporting climate adaptation for rural Mekong River Basin communities in Thailand, Embke et al., Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 10.1007/s11027-024-10154-0

Understanding the climate, migration, social protection nexus from a youth mobility dimension: can social protection address the drivers of climigration?, Ncube et al., Climate and Development Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2024.2380380

Understanding the climate, migration, social protection nexus from a youth mobility dimension: can social protection address the drivers of climigration?, Ncube et al., Climate and Development Open Access 10.1080/17565529.2024.2380380

When does place attachment lead to climate change adaptation and when does it not? A quantitative review and thematic analysis, Jayakody et al., Environmental Science & Policy Open Access 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103866

Climate change impacts on human health

Impact of climate change induced heat stress on the people working in the coastal cities of India, Kumar et al., Natural Hazards 10.1007/s11069-024-06872-y

Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations, Titcomb et al., Global Change Biology Open Access 10.1111/gcb.17433

Integrating effects of overheating on human health into buildings’ life cycle assessment, Monnier et al., The International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment Open Access 10.1007/s11367-024-02353-3

Quantification of Climate Footprints of Vibrio vulnificus in Coastal Human Communities of the United States Gulf Coast, Jamal et al., GeoHealth Open Access 10.1029/2023gh001005

Climate change & geopolitics Climate change impacts on human culture Other

How does sustainability leadership improve climate change reporting? The choices associated with a sustainable board- A management perspective, Toukabri & Kalai , Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change Open Access 10.1007/s11027-024-10153-1

Land use change impacts on climate extremes over the historical period, Zhang et al., Climate Dynamics 10.1007/s00382-024-07375-z

The history and future of IPCC special reports: A dual role of politicisation and normalisation, Asayama, Climatic Change Open Access pdf 10.1007/s10584-024-03788-1

Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives

Bring digital twins back to Earth, Saltelli et al., WIREs Climate Change Open Access 10.1002/wcc.915

Integration of urban climate research within the global climate change discourse, Nazarian et al., PLOS Climate Open Access pdf 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000473

Is impact out of scope? A call for innovation in climate standards to inspire action across companies’ Spheres of Influence, Axelsson et al., Carbon Management Open Access 10.1080/17583004.2024.2382995

Missing in action: capacity and capacity building in the IPCC’s AR 6, Klinsky & Sagar, Climatic Change Open Access 10.1007/s10584-024-03746-x

Resisting the carbonization of animals as climate solutions, Duvall et al., Nature Climate Change 10.1038/s41558-024-02106-y

U.S. agency funding for climate and health research falls short, Wadman, Science 10.1126/science.ads6027


Articles/Reports from Agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations Addressing Aspects of Climate Change

Electric Vehicle Efficiency: Unlocking Consumer Savings and Environmental Gains, Peter Huether, The American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy

The author outlines the benefits of improved electric vehicle (EV) efficiency for drivers, the environment, and the electricity grid. More-efficient EVs would save drivers money upfront and over time, reduce emissions produced upstream during electricity generation, and limit the strain EVs have on the grid. These benefits should be supported by policymakers because they can increase the benefits of electrification and make EVs more attractive to drivers. The author offers guidance to automakers for improving EV efficiency and presents data on efficiency levels of current models. The author concludes with a discussion of potential policy solutions to incentivize greater efficiency in EVs.

Land-Based Wind Market Report: 2024 Edition, Wiser et al., Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

Though 2023 was a relatively slow year for new wind power deployment, wind continues to see technological advancements, solid performance, and attractive prices. The Inflation Reduction Act promises new market dynamics in the years ahead, with expanded domestic manufacturing capability and an anticipated resurgence in deployment. Key highlights of the new report include the following. Wind comprises a significant share of the electricity supply. Wind turbines continue to get larger, expanding the market for wind energy Wind energy prices have risen but remain attractive for purchasers. Wind’s value proposition includes grid and societal benefits. The Inflation Reduction Act has created renewed optimism for supply chain expansion. Energy analysts project a resurgence of wind deployment in the years ahead.

An Analysis of the Climate and Financial Benefits of Rooftop Solar Arrays on Ontario’s Single-Family Homes and the Barriers to Adoption, Heather McDiarmid, Ontario Clean Air Alliance Research

Ontario has great potential for rooftop solar power generation, which is good news as the need for zero-carbon electricity is growing. Many single-family home rooftops can accommodate a 10 kW solar array or more, which is enough to generate as much electricity as the home uses over a year (net-zero electricity) while avoiding 1.5 tonnes of carbon emissions per year. That will increase to 3.9 tonnes per year by 2030 by displacing electricity from Ontario’s increasingly gas-reliant electricity grid.

Offshore Wind Market Report: 2024 Edition, McCoy et al., National Renewable Energy Laboratory

The authors provide detailed information on the U.S. and global offshore wind energy industries to inform policymakers, researchers, and analysts about technology, economic, and market trends. The authors cover global operating offshore wind energy projects and assess the current state of the offshore wind sector and the future outlook of the industry.

Distributed Wind Market Report, Sheridan et al., Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

The authors provide stakeholders with statistics and analysis of the distributed wind market— which includes power from wind turbines installed near where the power will be used—along with insight into U.S. trends and characteristics. The authors analyze distributed wind projects of all sizes and detail the U.S. small wind market for the 2023 calendar year.

Cost and Benefit Analysis of Energy Storage Resource Deployment in Illinois, The Power Bureau

A capacity shortage occurs when a regional power grid cannot meet peak electricity demand on the hottest summer days or the coldest winter nights. The regional power grids that serve Illinois project capacity shortages to occur in the near term. For Illinois, this outlook indicates a lower level of system reliability and increased costs for Illinois consumers. The authors propose that significant economic benefits would result from deploying at least 8,500 MW of energy storage resources in Illinois between 2030 and 2049.

Fueling and Financing, Addressing the Urgent Challenges Facing Electric Heavy-Duty Vehicle Deployment, Elkind et al., UC Berkeley Law’s Center for Law, Energy and the Environment and the UCLA Law Emmett Institute on Climate Change and the Environment

The authors conducted a literature review and convened two separate half-day workshops with a select group of stakeholders to offer policy recommendations for California state agencies. Some key recommendations include the Legislature and California Public Utilities Commission could require utilities to improve energization timelines and authorize utilities to advance expenditures to fund grid upgrades for heavy-duty charging infrastructure sooner whereas the Governor could create an executive-level “charging working group” or “czar” with the authority to ensure coordination and hold accountable state agencies responsible for the deployment of charging infrastructure to support the heavy-duty vehicle sector.

State of the Climate in 2023, American Meteorological Society

Notable findings from the international report include Earth’s greenhouse gas concentrations being the highest on record, record temperatures notable across the globe, El Niño conditions contributed to record-high sea surface temperatures, ocean heat and global sea level were the highest on record, heatwaves and droughts contributed to massive wildfires around the world, the Arctic was warm and navigable, Antarctica sea ice sets record lows throughout 2023, and tropical cyclone activity was below average, but storms still set records around the globe.

Climate Change and Global Security, Defense Science Board

The authors summarize the findings and recommendations published by the Defense Science Board for the 2023 Summer Study. The authors recommend a strategy for anticipating global stresses and possible conflict due to climate change and provide investment priorities for new systems and technology.

Australia’s Draft Sustainable Ocean Plan, Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Commonwealth of Australia

The goals of sustainable ocean management are to ensure a healthy and resilient ocean where Australia’s unique marine environment is effectively protected and managed; ocean industries are environmentally sustainable, socially responsible, and economically prosperous; and inclusive and diverse decision-making processes are in place so that the benefits from ocean resources are shared, now and for future generations.

State of the Climate in the South-West Pacific 2023, Macara et al., World Meteorological Organization

The authors provide the status of key climate indicators and the latest data and information on impacts, risks, and policy from United Nations agencies. It addresses specific physical science, socio-economic, and policy aspects that are relevant to the Southwest Pacific region and responds to Members’ needs in the fields of climate monitoring, climate change, and climate services.

Surging Seas in a Warming World, UN Secretary-General’s Climate Action Team, United Nations

The authors provide a summary of the latest science on sea-level rise and its present-day and projected impacts — including coastal flooding — at a global and regional level, with a focus on major coastal cities in the Group of Twenty (G20) countries and the Pacific Small Island Developing States. The findings demonstrate that sea-level rise is affecting the lives and livelihoods of coastal communities and low-lying island nations around the world today, and it is accelerating. The climate actions and decisions taken by political leaders and policymakers in the coming months and years will determine how devastating these impacts become and how quickly they worsen.


Obtaining articles without journal subscriptions

We know it’s frustrating that many articles we cite here are not free to read. One-off paid access fees are generally astronomically priced, suitable for such as On a Heuristic Point of View Concerning the Production and Transformation of Light”  but not as a gamble on unknowns. With a median world income of US$ 9,373, for most of us US$ 42 is significant money to wager on an article’s relevance and importance. 

  • Unpaywall offers a browser extension for Chrome and Firefox that automatically indicates when an article is freely accessible and provides immediate access without further trouble. Unpaywall is also unscammy, works well, is itself offered free to use. The organizers (a legitimate nonprofit) report about a 50% success rate

  • The weekly New Research catch is checked against the Unpaywall database with accessible items being flagged. Especially for just-published articles this mechansim may fail. If you’re interested in an article title and it is not listed here as “open access,” be sure to check the link anyway. 

How is New Research assembled?

Most articles appearing here are found via  RSS feeds from journal publishers, filtered by search terms to produce raw output for assessment of relevance. 

Relevant articles are then queried against the Unpaywall database, to identify open access articles and expose useful metadata for articles appearing in the database. 

The objective of New Research isn’t to cast a tinge on scientific results, to color readers’ impressions. Hence candidate articles are assessed via two metrics only:

  • Was an article deemed of sufficient merit by a team of journal editors and peer reviewers? The fact of journal RSS output assigns a “yes” to this automatically. 
  • Is an article relevant to the topic of anthropogenic climate change? Due to filter overlap with other publication topics of inquiry, of a typical week’s 550 or so input articles about 1/4 of RSS output makes the cut.

A few journals offer public access to “preprint” versions of articles for which the review process is not yet complete. For some key journals this all the mention we’ll see in RSS feeds, so we include such items in New Research. These are flagged as “preprint.”

The section “Informed opinion, nudges & major initiatives” includes some items that are not scientific research per se but fall instead into the category of “perspectives,” observations of implications of research findings, areas needing attention, etc.

Suggestions

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Journals covered

A list of journals we cover may be found here. We welcome pointers to omissions, new journals etc.

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